Detroit is Virtually Crime Free

politicalprof:

pol102:

Via kohenari:

Good news!

This person explains to me that rising gun ownership is actually making Detroit, my hometown, much safer:

Just look at Detroit recently gun ownership has gone up and crime has gone down. Not just a theory when there is evidence people

He’s right, you know. The violent crime rate in Detroit declined last year. And I guess it’s possible that gun ownership was responsible. Or perhaps there are a whole host of variables to consider, including the dramatic population decline.

But let’s get a wee bit of perspective on the situation in Detroit, shall we?

Make no mistake: Detroit is still a very dangerous place. The Federal Bureau of Investigation’s crime database reports Detroit had 386 murders last year, up from 344 in 2011 and essentially unchanged from 2000 – when the city had 200,000 more residents. The steady outflow of residents has driven Detroit’s murder rate up to 54.6 per 100,000, more than 10 times the national average and the highest in the country among large cities. Equally troubled Stockton, Calif., fifth on this year’s Most Dangerous list, has less than half the murder rate of Detroit….

The violent crime rate for the Detroit MSA [metropolitan statistical area] is 574 per 100,000 population, 48% higher than the national average — and virtually all attributable to the area’s much more dangerous urban core. Only a handful of murders in the Detroit MSA were reported outside of Detroit itself.

Maybe Detroit just needs even more guns?

But even if this is true in Detroit, it does not “prove” that more guns equals less crime. Arguing from an anecdote (N=1) is very problematic, precisely because other factors could be the cause of the decline in crime. 

In order to have confidence that “more guns equals less crime,” we would have to see one of two (or both) kinds of studies: 

  • Studies of Detroit (or some other area) over a long period of time to see if the rate of gun ownership correlates with the crime rate (that is, whether the  two rates go up/down together). This would be “time-series” data. 
  • Studies of the relationship between crime and gun ownership for a large number of cases. This would be “cross-sectional” data.

You could also combine both types of studies (large number of cases over a long period of time). This would be “panel” data.

Politicalprof: WARNING! WARNING! Social science in progress.

durrymuncher:

we have three distinct races in this fantasy story: white people, dwarves: who are sort of like… short white people, and elves: slightly taller-than-average white people with pointy ears

“Commander Vimes didn’t like the phrase ‘The innocent have nothing to fear’, believing the innocent had everything to fear, mostly from the guilty but in the longer term even more from those who say things like ‘The innocent have nothing to fear’.”
Terry Pratchett (via beornwulf)

(Source: theredkite)

matt112830:

sharplydressedtentacles:

banesidhe:

calming-tea:

samrgarrett:

outofthecavern:

opiatevampire:

theworldisconfused:

In addition to essentially inventing the computer, Alan Turing also broke the German Enigma Code during World War II which paved the way for the D-Day invasion. The man was a hyper-genius. I’ve read descriptions of his work by mathematical physicist Sir Roger Penrose. He’s been a hero of mine ever since.
The level of thought required to come up with the stuff he came up with is totally beyond my comprehension. I actually did not even know about his orientation until much later. He was prosecuted and ordered to undergo chemical castration. Soon thereafter, he committed suicide by eating a cyanide-laced apple.

The government forced him to take estrogen as a punishment (or “cure”?). He began to develop breasts and other side effects.
He committed suicide by biting into a cyanide laced apple. This is supposedly the inspiration for the name/logo of Apple computers.

omfg
omfg
and old Apple computers
the apple was a rainbow 







Reblogging again because more people need to know about Turing dammit.

Whoa…

matt112830:

sharplydressedtentacles:

banesidhe:

calming-tea:

samrgarrett:

outofthecavern:

opiatevampire:

theworldisconfused:

In addition to essentially inventing the computer, Alan Turing also broke the German Enigma Code during World War II which paved the way for the D-Day invasion. The man was a hyper-genius. I’ve read descriptions of his work by mathematical physicist Sir Roger Penrose. He’s been a hero of mine ever since.

The level of thought required to come up with the stuff he came up with is totally beyond my comprehension. I actually did not even know about his orientation until much later. He was prosecuted and ordered to undergo chemical castration. Soon thereafter, he committed suicide by eating a cyanide-laced apple.

The government forced him to take estrogen as a punishment (or “cure”?). He began to develop breasts and other side effects.

He committed suicide by biting into a cyanide laced apple. This is supposedly the inspiration for the name/logo of Apple computers.

omfg

omfg

and old Apple computers

the apple was a rainbow 

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Reblogging again because more people need to know about Turing dammit.

Whoa…

(Source: communism-kills)

becomebraver:

I HAVE FOUND THE CUTEST THING ON THE INTERNET

becomebraver:

I HAVE FOUND THE CUTEST THING ON THE INTERNET

So last night I got drunk and played Skyrim

karlosmadera:

I’m still torn on whether this is the greatest thing I’ve ever done or the stupidest. 

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officialunitedstates:

insenial:

officialunitedstates:

it’s quick, it’s easy and it’s free:  pouring river water in your socks

why would i do that lmao

it’s quick, it’s easy and it’s free